NFL 2020 USA Sep16

 The first week of the NFL season always presents a mirage or six. In Week 1 of last year, the Patriots beat the Steelers and made people think they were the most dominant team in the AFC, which turned out not to be true. In Week 1 of 2018, the Buccaneers beat the Saints 48-40 and made people wonder whether New Orleans’s defense was broken, which it wasn’t. Week 1 is what happens when six months of speculation meet actual football: Snap judgments are made, only to be course-corrected throughout the season. Last year’s Patriots offense turned out to be one of the weakest of the Tom Brady era; the 2018 Saints had a great defense that peaked late in the year and barely missed the Super Bowl while the Bucs finished 5-11.

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This year’s early results are potentially more deceptive than usual. Week 1 evaluations in the media tend to be faulty because of how little we’ve seen teams in live action. That’s especially true in 2020 because of how little players and coaches have seen of each other. The coronavirus pandemic shut down much of the traditional offseason, resulting in limited practice time and meetings that took place largely in virtual settings. 

Without minicamps, joint practices, or a preseason, offseason changes to personnel and scheme weren’t tested and tweaked the way they would be in normal years.

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